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Potential Gains in Reproductive-Aged Life Expectancy by Eliminating Maternal Mortality:A Demographic Bonus of Achieving MDG 5

机译:消除孕产妇死亡率,可能在生殖年龄预期寿命方面取得增长:实现千年发展目标5的人口红利

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摘要

Objective: We assessed the change over time in the contribution of maternal mortality to a life expectancy calculated between ages 15 and 49, or Reproductive-Aged Life Expectancy (RALE). Our goal was to estimate the increase in RALE in developed countries over the twentieth century and the hypothetical gains in African countries today by eliminating maternal mortality.Methods: Analogous to life expectancy, RALE is calculated from a life table of ages 15 to 49. Specifically, RALE is the average number of years that women at age 15 would be expected to live between 15 and 49 with current mortality rates.Associated single decrement life tables of causes of death other than maternal mortality are explored to assess the possible gains in RALE by reducing or eliminating maternal mortality. We used population-based data from the Human Mortality Database and the Demographic and Health Surveys.Findings: In developed countries, five years in RALE were gained over the twentieth century, of which approximately 10%, or half a year, was attributable to reductions in maternal mortality. In sub-Saharan African countries, the possible achievable gains fluctuate between 0.24 and 1.47 years, or 6% and 44% of potential gains in RALE.Conclusions: Maternal mortality is a rare event, yet it is still a very important component of RALE. Averting the burden of maternal deaths could return a significant increase in the most productive ages of human life.
机译:目的:我们评估了孕产妇死亡率对15岁至49岁之间的预期寿命或生殖年龄预期寿命(RALE)随时间的变化。我们的目标是通过消除孕产妇死亡率来估计20世纪发达国家RALE的增长以及今天非洲国家的假设性增长。方法:类似于预期寿命,RALE是根据15至49岁的寿命表计算的。 RALE是指15岁女性在目前的死亡率下预期可活在15岁至49岁之间的平均年数。探讨了除孕产妇死亡率以外的其他死亡原因的单次递减寿命表,以评估RALE可能带来的收益。降低或消除孕产妇死亡率。我们使用了来自人类死亡率数据库和人口与健康调查的基于人口的数据。结果:在发达国家,RALE在20世纪获得了五年,其中约有10%或半年可归因于减少在孕产妇死亡率方面。在撒哈拉以南非洲国家,可能实现的收益在0.24至1.47岁之间波动,占RALE潜在收益的6%至44%。结论:产妇死亡率是罕见的事件,但仍然是RALE的非常重要的组成部分。避免孕产妇死亡负担可以使人类最富有生产力的年龄显着增加。

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